This paper analyzes road crashes on 38 Greek islands to assess the impact of tourism on road safety. Monthly data on tourist arrivals, crashes, and fatalities were collected and grouped by geographical region. Initial insights were drawn by creating charts for four representative islands, highlighting correlations between arrivals and both crashes and fatalities. To further explore these relationships, Generalized Linear Models and Random Forest models were developed using R. The analysis revealed a positive correlation between tourist arrivals and road crashes, indicating that higher visitor volumes often coincide with increased crash and fatality rates. However, the strength of this relationship varied across island groups, potentially reflecting differences in road infrastructure and traffic management. Notably, some high-traffic islands exhibited lower crash rates, suggesting that better road conditions or more effective traffic control measures may mitigate the impact of tourism on road safety.
| ID | pc618 |
| Presentation | |
| Full Text | |
| Tags |
